Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 38

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)


	Lecco		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.48	3.52	2.15
	3.48	3.52	2.14
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.46	3.44	2.12	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.87)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecco
27.7%

Draw
27.4%

Modena
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	50%	42.9%

Lecco - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Modena will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 11. Salomaa H. 99. Buso N. 45. Inglese R.	26. Gagno R. (G) 27. Riccio A. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 29. Cotali M. 23. Battistella T. 6. Magnino L. 8. Santoro S. 5. Palumbo A. 32. Strizzolo L. 30. Bozhanaj K.
Substitutes
21. Crociata G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 68. Ierardi M. 83. Lemmens M. 7. Lunetta G. 90. Novakovich A. 14. Parigini V. 22. Saracco U. (G) 4. Smajlovic Z. 74. Tondi N.	33. Cauz C. 91. Corrado N. 73. Di Stefano L. 17. Manconi J. 42. Mondele L. 78. Oliva M. 77. Olivieri E. 12. Seculin A. (G) 10. Tremolada L. 22. Vandelli F. (G)
Coaches
Malgrati A.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Strizzolo L. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Sersanti A. ⚽,
23', Caporale A. 🟨,
27', Sersanti A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 2, Bozhanaj K. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
35', 1 - 3, Strizzolo L. ⚽, Battistella T. (A),
45', Palumbo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palumbo A. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
46', Inglese R. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
46', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Crociata G. ↑,
46', Salomaa H. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Buso N. ⚽, Crociata G. (A),
59', Caporale A. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
67', Crociata G. 🟨,
72', Sersanti A. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
76', Santoro S. 🟨,
77', Riccio A. ↓, Cauz C. ↑,
77', Strizzolo L. ↓, Manconi J. ↑,
85', Gagno R. ↓, Vandelli F. ↑,
90', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Oliva M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Lecco is Relegated to

Lecco is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Modena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Modena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Brescia - Lecco	4:1 ✺
01.05.24	Lecco - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Parma - Lecco	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Lecco - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Lecco - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Modena - Como	0:0 ✺
01.05.24	Reggiana - Modena	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ascoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Modena - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.09.23	Modena - Lecco	0:0

Upcoming Matches