The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 18.3%
Draw 25.5%
Fiorentina 56.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.7%
27.3%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
26.9%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
6.9%
84.7%
Lech Poznań - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(61 of 72 users predict this - 84.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.41% – 93.03%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
1st leg.
Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (18%), a very small chance of final (5%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (82%), a good chance of final (51%), a chance of win league (30%).
This event has quality60, very big importance94, big match rating77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Lech is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fiorentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Lech: Murawski R.
(Yellow Cards)
Szymczak F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Martinez Quarta L.
(Yellow Cards)
Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lech won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.