The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sivasspor 16%
Draw 23.7%
Fiorentina 60.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
27.5%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
26.8%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sivasspor's form might have worsened.
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sivasspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
4.4%
82.2%
Sivasspor - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.05% – 93.39%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Sivasspor has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a very small chance of qtrs (5%), a very small chance of semis (1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (95%), a good chance of semis (64%), a chance of final (40%), a chance of win league (23%).
This event has quality50, importance61, match rating56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Sivasspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sivasspor have a series of guest games.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Sivasspor: Gradel M.
(Red Card)
Osmanpasa C.
(Knee Injury)
Yalcin R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C.
(Yellow Cards)
Terzic A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Sivasspor: Yatabare M.
(Knee Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sivasspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.