Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Bristol City		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.28	3.26	3.26	Watch
	2.29	3.29	3.4
	2.45	3.19	3.05	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3
	2.37	3.5	3.09	Watch
	2.28	3.26	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 (2.33)	3.28 ↓ (3.52)	3.17 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
40.9%

Draw
29.1%

Sunderland
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	27.8%	27.8%

Bristol City - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Sunderland will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Bristol City (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +1 - Sunderland (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sunderland will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sunderland (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Leary M. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 3. Pring C. 19. Tanner G. 8. Williams J. 12. Knight J. (C) 2. McCrorie R. 6. Bird M. 21. Wells N. 40. Earthy G.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 33. Hjelde L. F. 4. Neil D. (C) 11. Rigg C. 10. Roberts P. 28. Le Fee E. 40. Watson T. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 23. Bajic S. (G) 20. Bell S. 7. Hirakawa Y. 29. McGuane M. 11. Mehmeti A. 31. Morrison E. 24. Roberts H. 10. Twine S.	20. Abdul Samed S. 30. Aleksic M. 45. Anderson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Browne A. 18. Isidor W. 50. Jones H. . Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G)
Coaches
Manning L.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Hume T. 🟥,
31', 0 - 1, Mayenda E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tanner G. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
48', Pring C. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Dickie R. ⚽,
61', Le Fee E. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
61', Rigg C. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
61', Roberts P. ↓, Isidor W. ↑,
66', Patterson A. 🟨,
72', Williams J. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
72', Bird M. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, McCrorie R. ⚽,
77', Mayenda E. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
80', Hjelde L. F. 🟨,
81', Earthy G. ↓, McGuane M. ↑,
82', Hjelde L. F. ↓, Anderson J. ↑,
89', Anderson J. 🟨,
90+2', McCrorie R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.

Bristol City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A. (Hamstring Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Campbell-Slowey J. (Calf Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sunderland - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
12.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Bristol City - Watford	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Burnley - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bristol City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
12.04.25	Sunderland - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Norwich City - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sunderland - Millwall	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.12.24	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:1
06.04.24	Sunderland - Bristol City	0:0
16.12.23	Bristol City - Sunderland	1:0
18.02.23	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:1
06.08.22	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:3
10.02.18	Bristol City - Sunderland	3:3
28.10.17	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:2

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