Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
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Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Leeds United		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.87	3.53	4.24	Watch
	1.91	3.6	4.27
	1.87	3.63	4.15	Watch
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.89	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.53	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↓ (3.71)	4.15 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and English League Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
50.4%

Draw
26.7%

Sheffield United
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leeds United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.9%	20.6%	23.5%

Leeds United - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Firpo J. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Rothwell J. 29. Gnonto W. 11. Aaronson B. 17. Ramazani L. 10. Piroe J.	1. Cooper M. (G) 16. Shackleton J. 6. Souttar H. 15. Ahmedhodzic A. 33. Norrington-Davies R. 14. Burrows H. 4. Arblaster O. (C) 21. Vini Souza 8. Hamer G. 10. O'Hare C. 9. Moore K.
Substitutes
9. Bamford P. 25. Byram S. 50. Crew C. 26. Darlow K. (G) 37. Debayo J. 7. James D. 19. Joseph M. 33. Schmidt I. 14. Solomon M.	7. Brewster R. 35. Brooks A. 23. Campbell T. 17. Davies A. (G) 2. Gilchrist A. 3. McCallum S. 42. Peck S. 11. Rak-Sakyi J. 19. Robinson J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Vini Souza 🟨,
61', Hamer G. ↓, Peck S. ↑,
61', Shackleton J. ↓, Gilchrist A. ↑,
61', O'Hare C. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
68', Aaronson B. ↓, James D. ↑,
68', Gnonto W. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Struijk P. ⚽, Rothwell J. (A),
77', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
79', Ramazani L. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
82', Vini Souza ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
84', Firpo J. 🟨,
87', Arblaster O. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Joseph M. ⚽, Piroe J. (A),
90+2', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+2', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3.

Recent matches Leeds is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sheff Utd is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Gruev I. (Knee Injury) James D. (Injury) Solomon M. (Hamstring Injury) Wober M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Davies T. (Leg Injury) Robinson J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leeds won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Championship
04.10.24	Sunderland - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
01.10.24	Norwich City - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Leeds United - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Cardiff City - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Leeds United - Burnley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWWL
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
05.10.24	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Sheffield United - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Sheffield United - Derby County	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Hull City - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.04.21	Leeds United - Sheffield United	2:1
27.09.20	Sheffield United - Leeds United	0:1
English League Championship
16.03.19	Leeds United - Sheffield United	0:1
01.12.18	Sheffield United - Leeds United	0:1
10.02.18	Sheffield United - Leeds United	2:1
27.10.17	Leeds United - Sheffield United	1:2

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