Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 33

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)


	Leganés		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.75
	1.63	3.5	6	Watch
	1.67	3.47	6.83
	1.66	3.47	6.83
	1.66	3.48	6.17	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.49 ↑ (3.28)	6.27 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
57.8%

Draw
27.1%

Cartagena
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leganés - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Leganés will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 2. Nyom A. 3. Saenz J. 22. Arambarri A. 15. Franquesa E. 11. Cruz J. 20. Undabarrena I. 17. Neyou Y. 7. Portillo F. 10. Raba D. 9. de la Fuente M.	13. Raul C. (G) 16. Calero I. 4. Alcala P. 5. Verdu G. 14. Fontan J. 8. Munoz L. 6. Andy 18. Musto D. 23. Alarcon T. 20. Izquierdo J. 10. Poveda D.
Substitutes
36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 32. Cisse S. 23. Djouahra N. 19. Garcia D. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 42. Koke 5. Lopez B. 8. Perea L. 28. Urena O.	32. Alamo J. 35. Ayllon I. 11. Juan Carlos 1. Mejias T. (G) 2. Moreno D. 12. Narvaez J. 26. Ortiz A. 9. Ortuno A. 48. Reyes J. (G) 17. Rico M. 33. Sola A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Verdu G. 🟨,
25', Poveda D. 🟨,
25', Munoz L. 🟨,
37', Franquesa E. 🟨,
44', Nyom A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Verdu G. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
62', Munoz L. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
62', Poveda D. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
66', Raba D. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
77', Nyom A. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
84', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
86', Cruz J. ↓, Djouahra N. ↑,
86', Izquierdo J. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
90+3', Raul C. 🟨,
90+4', Alarcon T. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leganés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leganés is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leganés won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.24	Villarreal B - Leganés	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Leganés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
11.03.24	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
23.03.24	Cartagena - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Eldense - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.23	Cartagena - Leganés	0:3
01.04.23	Leganés - Cartagena	1:3
09.10.22	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2
08.05.22	Cartagena - Leganés	0:0
02.11.21	Leganés - Cartagena	1:1
26.02.21	Cartagena - Leganés	1:0
27.09.20	Leganés - Cartagena	3:1

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