Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.6
	1.7	3.45	4.85	Watch
	1.74	3.55	5.38
	1.73	3.6	5.12	Watch
	1.73	3.3	5
	1.77	3.58	5.04	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)	5.04 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
54.7%

Draw
26.7%

Leonesa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

20.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Leganés - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leonesa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 16. Melero G. 20. Plano O. 14. Lopez R. 23. Millan A. 9. Rodriguez D.	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 17. Calero I. 6. Maestre S. 28. Ojeda T. 20. Tresaco R. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.
Substitutes
12. Asue L. 21. Campos A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 11. Duk 22. Figueredo S. 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 5. Miquel I.	12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 9. Justo M. 11. Moreno V. 22. Radoja N. 15. Ribeiro L. 2. Rodriguez P. 3. Satrustegui E.
Coaches
Oca I.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Pena R. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Chacon L. ⚽, Tresaco R. (A),
40', Chacon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
63', Diawara A. ↓, Duk ↑,
63', Calero I. ↓, Bicho ↑,
63', Maestre S. ↓, Satrustegui E. ↑,
75', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
75', Plano O. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
77', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,
78', Ojeda T. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
78', Tresaco R. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
87', Hinojo R. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
88', Marvel 🟨,
88', Sobrino R. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
90+2', Barzic M. 🟨,
90+2', Duk 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leonesa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leganés is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Leonesa - Leganés	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Leonesa - Leganés	2:3 ET

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