Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Leicester City		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.35	3.85	2.12
	3.55	3.72	2.11
	3.52	3.74	2.09	Watch
	3.5	3.7	2.05
	3.55	3.87	2.06	Watch
	3.45	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
28%

Draw
25.8%

Bournemouth
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	36.4%	22.7%

Leicester City - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 16. Kristiansen V. 22. Skipp O. 6. Ndidi W. 40. Buonanotte F. 18. Ayew J. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 5. Senesi M. 3. Kerkez M. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 24. Semenyo A. 16. Tavernier M. 19. Kluivert J. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
4. Coady C. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 29. Edouard O. 11. El Khannouss B. 7. Fatawu I. 21. Pereira R. 24. Soumare B. 1. Ward D. (G) 8. Winks H.	22. Araujo J. 7. Brooks D. 23. Hill J. 2. Huijsen D. 11. Ouattara Da. 8. Scott A. 17. Sinisterra L. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Cooper S.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Buonanotte F. ⚽, Justin J. (A),
40', Ayew J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kluivert J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
50', Ndidi W. 🟨,
63', Smith A. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
63', Kerkez M. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
64', Justin J. 🟨,
74', Vardy J. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
74', Christie R. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
81', Evanilson ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
82', Buonanotte F. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
82', Mavididi S. ↓, Fatawu I. ↑,
84', Senesi M. 🟨,
88', Ayew J. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
90+2', Soumare B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bournemouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Shoulder Injury) Daka P. (Ankle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury) Vestergaard J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Back Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
28.09.24	Arsenal - Leicester City	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Walsall - Leicester City	0:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.09.24	Leicester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
30.09.24	Bournemouth - Southampton	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Liverpool - Bournemouth	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Everton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	West Ham United - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.02.24	Bournemouth - Leicester City	0:1 ET
English Premier League
08.04.23	Leicester City - Bournemouth	0:1
08.10.22	Bournemouth - Leicester City	2:1
12.07.20	Bournemouth - Leicester City	4:1
31.08.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	3:1
30.03.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	2:0
15.09.18	Bournemouth - Leicester City	4:2

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