Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport OTT 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Australia	00:00	Optus Sport
Botswana	16:00	YTV
Cambodia	21:00	True Sport 2
Cameroon	15:00	CRTV Sports
Canada	10:00	fubo Sports Network 6 DRM
China	22:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 6
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Guinea	14:00	CIS
Hong Kong	22:00	Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	14:00	Siminn Sport 5, Siminn Sport
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	17:00	K24
Laos	21:00	True Sport 2
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Namibia	16:00	One Africa
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	15:00	Sporty TV
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Romania	17:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Senegal	14:00	RTS 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 5, StarHub TV+
South Africa	16:00	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Xtra
Tanzania	17:00	UTV
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect
Uganda	17:00	NBS Sport 1
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Vietnam	21:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15
International	14:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
Zambia	16:00	ZNBC 1


	Leicester City		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.35	3.85	2.12
	3.55	3.72	2.11
	3.52	3.74	2.09	Watch
	3.5	3.7	2.05
	3.55	3.87	2.06	Watch
	3.45	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
28%

Draw
25.8%

Bournemouth
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

25.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.4%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	36.4%	22.7%

Leicester City - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 16. Kristiansen V. 22. Skipp O. 6. Ndidi W. 40. Buonanotte F. 18. Ayew J. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 5. Senesi M. 3. Kerkez M. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 24. Semenyo A. 16. Tavernier M. 19. Kluivert J. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
4. Coady C. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 29. Edouard O. 11. El Khannouss B. 7. Fatawu I. 21. Pereira R. 24. Soumare B. 1. Ward D. (G) 8. Winks H.	22. Araujo J. 7. Brooks D. 23. Hill J. 2. Huijsen D. 11. Ouattara Da. 8. Scott A. 17. Sinisterra L. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Cooper S.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Buonanotte F. ⚽, Justin J. (A),
40', Ayew J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kluivert J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
50', Ndidi W. 🟨,
63', Smith A. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
63', Kerkez M. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
64', Justin J. 🟨,
74', Vardy J. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
74', Christie R. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
81', Evanilson ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
82', Buonanotte F. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
82', Mavididi S. ↓, Fatawu I. ↑,
84', Senesi M. 🟨,
88', Ayew J. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
90+2', Soumare B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bournemouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Shoulder Injury) Daka P. (Ankle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury) Vestergaard J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Back Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
28.09.24	Arsenal - Leicester City	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Walsall - Leicester City	0:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.09.24	Leicester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Crystal Palace - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
30.09.24	Bournemouth - Southampton	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Liverpool - Bournemouth	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Everton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	West Ham United - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.02.24	Bournemouth - Leicester City	0:1 ET
English Premier League
08.04.23	Leicester City - Bournemouth	0:1
08.10.22	Bournemouth - Leicester City	2:1
12.07.20	Bournemouth - Leicester City	4:1
31.08.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	3:1
30.03.19	Leicester City - Bournemouth	2:0
15.09.18	Bournemouth - Leicester City	4:2

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