Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool)

Referee: Bond D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Everton		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.2
				Watch
	2	3.4	4.45
				Watch
	1.95	3.4	4
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.73)	3.35 ↓ (3.86)	4.22 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
48.7%

Draw
28.6%

Leicester City
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

19.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Everton's form might have worsened.

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	16.7%	20.4%

Everton - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 34 - 65.4%). Leicester will win (votes: 11 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 52.5% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 32. Branthwaite J. 19. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 29. Lindstrom J. 16. Doucoure A. 10. Ndiaye I. 14. Beto	30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 9. Vardy J. (C)
Substitutes
45. Armstrong H. 31. Begovic A. (G) 11. Harrison J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 5. Keane M. 2. Patterson N. 67. Sherif M. 12. Virginia J. (G) 18. Young A.	40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Daka P. 10. Mavididi S. 35. McAteer K. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Moyes D.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Doucoure A. ⚽, Pickford J. (A),
6', 2 - 0, Beto ⚽, Tarkowski J. (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Beto ⚽, Garner J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Vestergaard J. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
60', Vardy J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
75', Lindstrom J. ↓, Young A. ↑,
76', Justin J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
76', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
82', Garner J. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
88', Mykolenko V. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,
88', Beto ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Everton won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Everton is a favorite.

There will not play in Everton: Broja A. (Ankle Injury) Calvert-Lewin D. (Muscle Injury) Chermiti (Thigh Injury) Coleman S. (Calf Injury) Iroegbunam T. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) McNeil D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Everton won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 30:31 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Everton won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
25.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
15.01.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.25	Everton - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Bournemouth - Everton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
26.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Leicester City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.09.24	Leicester City - Everton	1:1
01.05.23	Leicester City - Everton	2:2
05.11.22	Everton - Leicester City	0:2
08.05.22	Leicester City - Everton	1:2
20.04.22	Everton - Leicester City	1:1
27.01.21	Everton - Leicester City	1:1
16.12.20	Leicester City - Everton	0:2

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