Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
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Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
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Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
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Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
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Singapore	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Usa	Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Leicester City		Fulham

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.8
	4.5	3.8	1.78
	4.55	3.85	1.82	Watch
	4.6	3.79	1.82	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.8
	4.43	3.92	1.83	Watch
	4.55	3.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.8)	3.81 ↑ (3.77)	1.81 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
21.4%

Draw
25.3%

Fulham
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.2%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.5%	20%	57.5%

Leicester City - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Fulham will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. (C) 16. Berge S. 20. Lukic S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 35. McAteer K. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L.	23. Benda S. (G) 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Pereira A. 6. Reed H. 9. Rodrigo Muniz 30. Sessegnon R. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Iwobi A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Smith Rowe E. ⚽, Lukic S. (A),
54', Lukic S. 🟨,
64', Winks H. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
64', El Khannouss B. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
71', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
71', Ayew J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
71', Mavididi S. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
80', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
88', McAteer K. 🟨,
90+1', Lukic S. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
90+1', Wilson H. ↓, King J. ↑,
90+4', Faes W. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Leicester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fulham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fulham is a favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Nelson R. (Thigh Injury) Tete K. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
15.01.25	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
14.01.25	West Ham United - Fulham	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.25	Fulham - Watford	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.24	Fulham - Leicester City	2:1
08.05.23	Fulham - Leicester City	5:3
03.01.23	Leicester City - Fulham	0:1
03.02.21	Fulham - Leicester City	0:2
30.11.20	Leicester City - Fulham	1:2
09.03.19	Leicester City - Fulham	3:1
05.12.18	Fulham - Leicester City	1:1

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