Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	12:00	Disney+
Canada	10:00	fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
China	23:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Montenegro	16:00	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Papua New Guinea	01:00	TVWan Sports
Poland	16:00	Viaplay
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 2
Romania	17:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	23:00	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
South Korea	00:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	16:00	DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Thailand	22:00	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Usa	10:00	Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	22:00	ON Football, ON Plus
International	15:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Leicester City		Fulham

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.8
	4.5	3.8	1.78
	4.55	3.85	1.82	Watch
	4.6	3.79	1.82	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.8
	4.43	3.92	1.83	Watch
	4.55	3.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.8)	3.81 ↑ (3.77)	1.81 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
21.4%

Draw
25.3%

Fulham
53.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.2%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.5%	20%	57.5%

Leicester City - Fulham Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Fulham will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 42.2% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. 3. Bassey C. 33. Robinson A. (C) 16. Berge S. 20. Lukic S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Jimenez R.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 35. McAteer K. 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L.	23. Benda S. (G) 10. Cairney T. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Pereira A. 6. Reed H. 9. Rodrigo Muniz 30. Sessegnon R. 11. Traore A.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Iwobi A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Smith Rowe E. ⚽, Lukic S. (A),
54', Lukic S. 🟨,
64', Winks H. ↓, Skipp O. ↑,
64', El Khannouss B. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽, Wilson H. (A),
71', Jimenez R. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
71', Ayew J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
71', Mavididi S. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
80', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
88', McAteer K. 🟨,
90+1', Lukic S. ↓, Diop I. ↑,
90+1', Wilson H. ↓, King J. ↑,
90+4', Faes W. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Leicester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fulham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fulham is a favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Nelson R. (Thigh Injury) Tete K. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
15.01.25	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
English Premier League
04.01.25	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
14.01.25	West Ham United - Fulham	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.25	Fulham - Watford	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
05.01.25	Fulham - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
29.12.24	Fulham - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
26.12.24	Chelsea - Fulham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.24	Fulham - Leicester City	2:1
08.05.23	Fulham - Leicester City	5:3
03.01.23	Leicester City - Fulham	0:1
03.02.21	Fulham - Leicester City	0:2
30.11.20	Leicester City - Fulham	1:2
09.03.19	Leicester City - Fulham	3:1
05.12.18	Fulham - Leicester City	1:1

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