Match Info

Championship - Round 37

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Leicester City		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.33	3.36	3.07
	2.38	3.44	3.12
	2.33	3.44	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
	2.32	3.3	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)	3.37 ↓ (3.58)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
40.6%

Draw
27.9%

Bristol City
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	5.9%	52.9%

Leicester City - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Bristol City (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Leicester (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 25%). Bristol City (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 5. Okoli C. 4. Nelson B. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 6. James J. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 38. Eile N. 21. Neto Borges 12. Knight J. (C) 6. Bird M. 40. Morsy S. 2. McCrorie R. 10. Twine S. 18. Riis E. 14. Horvat T.
Substitutes
18. Aribo J. 20. Daka P. 24. Lascelles J. 28. Monga J. 29. Mukasa D. 21. Pereira R. 12. Richards D. 13. Vieites F. (G) 8. Winks H.	30. Armstrong S. 20. Bell S. 11. Burgzorg D. 44. Earthy G. 13. Lumley J. (G) 24. Naylor S. 3. Pring C. 17. Sykes M. 46. Thelwell M.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Nelson B. ⚽, James J. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Fatawu I. ⚽, De Cordova-Reid B. (A),
36', Choudhury H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bird M. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
60', McCrorie R. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
60', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
61', Neto Borges 🟨,
63', Nelson B. 🟨,
65', Riis E. (Penalty Awarded),
68', James J. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
68', Ayew J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
69', Choudhury H. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
78', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
81', Riis E. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
90+1', Armstrong S. 🟨,
90+2', Fatawu I. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
90+4', Morsy S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Bristol City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leicester has had a series of away games.

Leicester could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Begovic A. (Injury) Kristiansen V. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vestergaard J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Ankle Injury) Dickie R. (Hamstring Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Randell A. (Red Card) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 2.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
07.03.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leicester City - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Stoke City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Southampton - Leicester City	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTTL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
07.03.26	Bristol City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.03.26	Port Vale - Bristol City	1:0 ET ✺
English League Championship
27.02.26	Bristol City - Watford	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Swansea City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.12.25	Bristol City - Leicester City	2:2
29.03.24	Bristol City - Leicester City	1:0
23.09.23	Leicester City - Bristol City	1:0
12.01.13	Bristol City - Leicester City	0:4
06.10.12	Leicester City - Bristol City	2:0
06.03.12	Bristol City - Leicester City	N/A

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