Match Info

Championship - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Loftus Road (London)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Queens Park Rangers		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.31	3.43	3.04	Watch
	2.4	3.52	3.02
	2.39	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.35	3.32	2.93	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.41)	3.42 ↓ (3.57)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queens Park Rangers
39.8%

Draw
27.5%

Leicester City
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	26.7%	33.3%

Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leicester will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leicester (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leicester City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Hamer B. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 7. Dembele K. 40. Varane J. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 16. Burrell R.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 4. Nelson B. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Ayew J.
Substitutes
5. Cook S. 8. Field S. 12. Frey M. 15. Hayden I. 21. Morgan K. 4. Morrison L. 1. Nardi P. (G) 17. Poku K. 11. Smyth P.	56. Aluko O. 31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 3. Faes W. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 30. Ramsey A. 39. Thomas S.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Saito K. ⚽, Burrell R. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Kone R. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Dembele K. ⚽, Burrell R. (A),
35', Ayew J. 🟨,
45+3', 4 - 0, Mbengue A. S. ⚽, Dunne J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Cook S. ↑,
63', James J. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
63', Ayew J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
63', Vestergaard J. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
73', Fatawu I. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
74', Varane J. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
74', Madsen N. ↓, Field S. ↑,
77', Pereira R. 🟨,
81', De Cordova-Reid B. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 4 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽,
85', Pereira R. ↓, Page L. ↑,
85', Dembele K. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
85', Saito K. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
90+4', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in QPR: Chair I. (Injury) Field S. (Injury) Kolli R. (Muscle Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Smith T. (International duty) Vale H. (Inactive) Walsh J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (International duty) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Monga J. (Inactive) Okoli C. (Knee Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Soumare B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
13.12.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
26.11.25	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
13.12.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
10.12.25	Bristol City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Derby County - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:3 ✺
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2
English League Championship
02.03.24	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
28.10.23	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	1:2
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	3:3
English Premier League
24.05.15	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	5:1
29.11.14	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	3:2
English League Championship
19.04.14	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0

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