Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.55	4.44	Watch
	1.83	3.73	4.52
	1.83	3.66	4.27	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.79	3.76	4.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)	4.43 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
52.7%

Draw
25.9%

Preston North End
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston North End could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	3.7%	7.4%

Leicester City - Preston North End Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 5. Okoli C. 24. Lascelles J. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 29. Mukasa D. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.	1. Iversen D. (G) 2. Valentin P. 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 26. Small T. 23. Moran A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 21. Devine A. 28. Osmajic M. 17. Dobbin L.
Substitutes
18. Aribo J. 9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 17. Choudhury H. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 28. Monga J. 4. Nelson B. 12. Richards D. 23. Vestergaard J.	13. Cornell D. (G) 19. Gibson L. 9. Jebbison D. 22. Lukovic M. 34. Nelson K. 42. Offiah O. 44. Potts B. 24. Smith M. 3. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Daka P. ⚽,
15', Moran A. 🟨,
21', Hughes A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Moran A. ⚽, Dobbin L. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Whiteman B. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Lindsay L. 🟨,
64', Storey J. 🟨,
67', Moran A. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
67', Osmajic M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
67', Lindsay L. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
74', Lascelles J. ↓, Nelson B. ↑,
74', Skipp O. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
80', Dobbin L. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Daka P. ⚽,
85', Small T. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
88', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
88', Mavididi S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
90+4', Mukasa D. ↓, Vestergaard J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).

Recent performances by Leicester have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Preston is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Leicester is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Begovic A. (Ankle Injury) Kristiansen V. (Knee Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vestergaard J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Lewis J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: James J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Gibson L. (Shoulder Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Leicester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Preston: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
21.03.26	Watford - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	Leicester City - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leicester City - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWTL
- Preston North End
English League Championship
20.03.26	Preston North End - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Norwich City - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Coventry City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.08.25	Preston North End - Leicester City	2:1
29.04.24	Preston North End - Leicester City	0:3
04.10.23	Leicester City - Preston North End	3:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Preston North End - Leicester City	1:2
02.08.14	Preston North End - Leicester City	1:1

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