Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 8, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	Now E
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 6
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.35
	3	3.3	2.37
	3.15	3.4	2.38
	3.2	3.37	2.44
	3.13	3.34	2.43	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.4
	3.12	3.5	2.38	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.81)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
31.1%

Draw
28.6%

Nottingham Forest
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.1%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	36.7%	32.7%

Leicester City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%). Nottingham will win (votes: 15 - 34.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.2% – 50.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 40. Buonanotte F. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 19. Moreno A. 22. Yates R. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 21. Elanga A. 8. Anderson E. 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Wood Ch.
Substitutes
18. Ayew J. 4. Coady C. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 29. Edouard O. 11. El Khannouss B. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B. 33. Thomas L. 1. Ward D. (G)	9. Awoniyi T. 30. Boly W. 33. Carlos Miguel (G) 20. Jota Silva 4. Morato 24. Sosa R. 15. Toffolo H. 18. Ward-Prowse J. 7. Williams N.
Coaches
Cooper S.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Yates R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Vardy J. ⚽, Winks H. (A),
35', Pereira R. 🟨,
41', Moreno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Mavididi S. 🟨,
47', 1 - 2, Wood Ch. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
58', Winks H. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Wood Ch. ⚽,
68', Pereira R. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
68', Mavididi S. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
72', Anderson E. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
72', Moreno A. ↓, Morato ↑,
74', Ndidi W. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
76', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
76', Elanga A. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
78', Dominguez N. 🟨,
81', Wood Ch. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
88', Ayew J. 🟨,
90+4', Soumare B. 🟨,
90+5', Milenkovic N. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

Leicester is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nottingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Shoulder Injury) Daka P. (Ankle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury) Vestergaard J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Danilo (Ankle Injury) Sangare I. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Gibbs-White M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
19.10.24	Southampton - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Leicester City - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Arsenal - Leicester City	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Walsall - Leicester City	0:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
21.09.24	Leicester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWT
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
21.10.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:0
03.10.22	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	4:0
English FA Cup
06.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	4:1
English League Championship
19.02.14	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:2
09.11.13	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	0:2
04.05.13	Nottingham Forest - Leicester City	2:3
10.11.12	Leicester City - Nottingham Forest	2:2

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