Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Leicester City		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.8
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.43	3.4	2.9
	2.38	3.45	2.95
	2.39	3.59	3.03
	2.49	3.64	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	2.92 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
39.9%

Draw
27.3%

PSV Eindhoven
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	19.1%	15.7%

Leicester City - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 58 - 65.2%). PSV will win (votes: 14 - 15.7%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 55.3% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Leicester was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (36%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

PSV was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (64%), has a chance of final (37%), has a chance of win league (21%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Leicester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSV is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
02.04.22	Manchester United - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	Leicester City - Brentford	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	Rennes - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
13.03.22	Arsenal - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Leicester City - Rennes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.22	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	3:3 ✺
20.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	Copenhagen - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.22	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Copenhagen	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWT

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