Match Info

Championship - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Bramall Lane (Sheffield)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sheffield United		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.71	4.12	4.45	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.33
	1.72	3.85	4.41	Watch
	1.7	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	4.48 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield United
54.8%

Draw
24.1%

Leicester City
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield United's performance.

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leicester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leicester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.5%	18.2%	30.3%

Sheffield United - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sheff Utd will win (votes: 17 - 54.8%). Leicester will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 37.3% – 72.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Leicester (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leicester (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 6. Bindon T. 3. McCallum S. 18. Soumare D. 44. Riedewald J. 11. Brooks A. 10. O'Hare C. 7. Cannon T. 45. Bamford P.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 4. Nelson B. 5. Okoli C. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 6. James J. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 39. Thomas S.
Substitutes
4. Arblaster O. 14. Burrows H. 23. Campbell T. 24. Chong T. 17. Davies A. (G) 8. Hamer G. 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 25. McGuinness M.	56. Aluko O. 9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 11. Marcal W. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 23. Vestergaard J.
Coaches
Wilder C.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Fatawu I. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Tanganga J. ⚽, McCallum S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Cannon T. ⚽, Brooks A. (A),
57', Skipp O. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
57', Thomas S. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
60', Bamford P. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
65', Mavididi S. 🟨,
67', Mavididi S. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
68', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Page L. ↑,
76', Brooks A. ↓, Hamer G. ↑,
84', Seriki F. 🟨,
85', Cannon T. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
85', Soumare D. ↓, Arblaster O. ↑,
86', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, O'Hare C. ⚽, Seriki F. (A),
90+2', 3 - 1, James J. ⚽, Ayew J. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sheff Utd is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Calf Injury) Mee B. (Hand Injury) Peck S. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (International duty) Kristiansen V. (Knock) Soumare B. (Knee Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Injury) Vestergaard J. (Inactive) Winks H. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Sheffield Utd: 1.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9:11	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sheffield United - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.78%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield United
English League Championship
29.12.25	Stoke City - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Wrexham - Sheffield United	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Sheffield United - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLT
- Leicester City
English League Championship
29.12.25	Leicester City - Derby County	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leicester City - Watford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Queens Park Rangers - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
10.12.25	Bristol City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.11.25	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:3
English Premier League
14.03.21	Leicester City - Sheffield United	5:0
06.12.20	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:2
16.07.20	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:0
24.08.19	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:2
English FA Cup
16.02.18	Leicester City - Sheffield United	1:0
English League Cup
22.08.17	Sheffield United - Leicester City	1:4

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