The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wrexham 46.3%
Draw 27.2%
Derby County 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
27.7%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
27.3%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
33.3%
8.3%
Wrexham - Derby County Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 30.4% โ 86.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. 3. Brunt L. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 47. Longman R. 10. Windass J. (C) 27. O'Brien L. 19. Moore K.
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 22. Johnston M. 5. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 7. Agyemang P. 27. Travis L. (C) 32. Adams E. 28. Sanderson D. 25. Brereton Diaz B. 14. Weimann A. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Burton C. (G) 2. Doyle C. 34. James A. 7. McClean J. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S. 14. Thomason G.
4. Batth D. 42. Clark B. 20. Elder C. 19. Jackson K. 24. Nyambe R. 18. Ozoh D. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.
Eustace J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', O'Brien L. 🟨,
13', Clarke M. 🟨,
36', Adams E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Travis L. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, O'Brien L. ⚽, Kabore I. (A),
63', Adams E. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
63', Weimann A. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
74', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
74', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
80', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
80', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
85', Ozoh D. 🟨,
90+1', Morris C. 🟨,
90+3', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Wrexham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wrexham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Knock)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Last Results with these Odds
Wrexham - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Okonkwo A. (G) 
Cleworth M. 
Hyam D. 
Kabore I. 
Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Agyemang P. 
Adams E. 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Weimann A. 
McClean J. 
Elder C. 
Nyambe R. 
Salvesen L. 
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