Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria		Braga B

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.5
	1.25	5	8.8
	1.33	5.23	9.08
	1.31	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.32	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.7)	4.96 ↑ (3.72)	8.22 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
70.3%

Draw
18.5%

Braga B
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiria's performance.

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braga B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Leiria - Braga B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Braga B will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Leiria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Braga B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leiria is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leiria to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Alverca - Leiria	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Leiria - Felgueiras	4:1 ✺
09.04.23	Braga B - Leiria	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Leiria - Alverca	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Braga B - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Alverca - Braga B	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Braga B - Leiria	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Felgueiras - Braga B	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Braga B - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.04.23	Braga B - Leiria	1:0
16.04.22	Leiria - Braga B	2:0
21.03.22	Braga B - Leiria	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Leiria - Braga B	1:1

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