Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Leixões		Arouca

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.8
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	2.7	2.55	2.95
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.95	2.87	2.9
	2.7	2.75	3
	2.68	2.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.75)	2.76 ↑ (2.76)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
33.8%

Draw
33.7%

Arouca
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

33.7%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leixões have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leixões, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arouca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leixões - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 6).

Leixões is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arouca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.21	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:1 ✺
26.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:1 ✺
21.01.21	Leixões - Vilafranquense	2:0 ✺
16.01.21	Leixões - Chaves	1:0 ✺
11.01.21	Porto B - Leixões	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWWW
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Chaves - Arouca	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Arouca - Mafra	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Casa Pia - Arouca	1:1 ✺
05.01.21	Arouca - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.20	Arouca - Leixões	0:0
16.03.19	Leixões - Arouca	1:0
11.11.18	Arouca - Leixões	2:0
22.04.18	Leixões - Arouca	2:2
10.12.17	Arouca - Leixões	2:1
Taça de Portugal
18.10.15	Leixões - Arouca	1:2 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.12	Arouca - Leixões	2:0

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