The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 37.8%
Draw 31.9%
Leyton Orient 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
30.8%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
30%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tranmere Rovers's performance.
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leyton Orient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Tranmere Rovers - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 12 (9.46%), has project points - 64, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (38.78%), has project points - 89, has currently - 57, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a good chance of promoted (85%), has a chance of win league (39%).
This event has small quality12, importance47, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
Watch
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