Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Lincoln City		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5
	1.68	3.5	4.33
	1.68	3.65	5.2
	1.7	3.8	4.6
	1.73	3.69	5.05
	1.63	3.8	5.25
	1.73	3.88	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)	3.72 ↓ (4.13)	4.88 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
55.5%

Draw
25.2%

Hartlepool United
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

14.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lincoln City - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Lincoln is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hartlepool have a series of guest games.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
27.11.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
23.11.21	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
20.11.21	Doncaster Rovers - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Lincoln City - Bowers & Pitsea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTW
- Hartlepool United
English EFL Trophy
01.12.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Hartlepool United	0:3 ✺
English League Two
27.11.21	Port Vale - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
23.11.21	Swindon Town - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
20.11.21	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLLLW

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