Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Lincoln City		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.48	4.4	6
	1.45	4.4	7.5
	1.46	4.2	6.4
	1.48	4.44	7.33
	1.44	4.2	7
	1.52	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.38 ↑ (4.37)	6.86 ↓ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
64.5%

Draw
21.7%

Rochdale
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.6%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.6%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Lincoln City - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Lincoln has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Rochdale has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Recent matches Lincoln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lincoln is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
09.03.21	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Lincoln City - Crewe Alexandra	3:0 ✺
02.03.21	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
27.02.21	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	4:3 ✺
23.02.21	Lincoln City - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLT
- Rochdale AFC
English League One
09.03.21	Rochdale - Shrewsbury Town	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Sunderland - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Hull City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Rochdale - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Northampton Town - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.12.20	Rochdale - Lincoln City	0:2
17.09.19	Rochdale - Lincoln City	1:1
English EFL Trophy
09.01.18	Rochdale - Lincoln City	0:1

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