Match Info

League One - Round 31

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.3	2.32	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.38
	2.92	3.45	2.47
	2.82	3.49	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.88	3.31	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.74)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
32.9%

Draw
27.8%

Lincoln City
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Lincoln will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 69.5% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Plymouth (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lincoln (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. 28. Curtis R. 4. Wiredu B. 19. Boateng M. 35. Dale O. 17. Watts C. 27. Pepple A.	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Moylan J. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 13. Baker Z. (G) 20. Kane H. 3. MacKenzie J. 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 6. Szucs K.	8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 20. One R. 6. Towler R.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Harding W. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽,
14', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
45', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
58', Oseni O. 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
66', Edwards J. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
66', Dale O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
73', Street R. ↓, House B. ↑,
73', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
79', Bayliss T. 🟨,
79', Wiredu B. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
79', Watts C. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
84', Draper F. ↓, One R. ↑,
90+2', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
90+6', One R. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 4, One R. ⚽, Lloyd A. (A),
90+8', House B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0.

Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lincoln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive) Sorinola M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Thorn O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H. (Groin Injury) Ralls J. (Inactive) Tolaj L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A. (Surgery)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
31.01.26	Stockport County - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Peterborough United - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW
- Lincoln City
English League One
31.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Lincoln City - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Luton Town - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.08.25	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2
10.04.23	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	0:2
12.11.22	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
22.01.22	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	1:2
02.10.21	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
27.02.21	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	4:3
English FA Cup
28.11.20	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	2:0

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