Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday


	Sunderland		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.4	4.6	7.25
	1.44	4.5	7.5
	1.43	4.3	6.8
	1.43	4.63	8.01
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.44	4.7	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	4.51 ↓ (4.84)	7.37 ↓ (8.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
66.2%

Draw
20.9%

Rochdale
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.5%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.2%

16.9%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sunderland - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs) and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Sunderland has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (55%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Rochdale has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rochdale is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sunderland is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Sunderland is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League One
02.03.21	Sunderland - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Crewe Alexandra - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
23.02.21	Sunderland - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Burton Albion - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.02.21	Sunderland - Lincoln City	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English League One
02.03.21	Hull City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Rochdale - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
23.02.21	Northampton Town - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
20.02.21	Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
16.02.21	Blackpool - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.10.20	Rochdale - Sunderland	2:2
11.02.20	Sunderland - Rochdale	3:0
20.08.19	Rochdale - Sunderland	1:2
06.04.19	Rochdale - Sunderland	1:2
22.09.18	Sunderland - Rochdale	4:1

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