Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southampton		Millwall

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.75	3.30	Watch
	1.98	3.70	3.50
	1.94	3.55	3.60	Watch
	2.05	3.88	3.63
	2.04	3.75	3.37	Watch
	1.98	3.85	3.60
	1.96	3.87	3.81	Watch
	1.97	3.70	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	3.76 ↑ (3.56)	3.55 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
47.9%

Draw
25.3%

Millwall
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Southampton - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Millwall (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Millwall (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 15. Wood N. 13. Schlotterbeck K. 3. Manning R. 26. Bragg C. 4. Downes F. (C) 27. Matsuki K. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 17. Sykes M. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 10. Neghli C. 24. De Norre C. 14. Metcalfe J. 7. Arconte T. 19. Coburn J. 22. Lisbie K.
Substitutes
29. Akachukwu R. 11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 25. Long G. (G) 28. Mubama D. 5. Stephens J. 30. Ward-Prowse J. 34. Welington	12. Baggott E. 23. Batth D. 43. Coleman J. (G) 25. Cundle L. 13. Dykes L. 16. Kelly D. 29. Lovelace Z. 44. Massey A. 2. Osei-Tutu J.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Manning R. 🟨,
10', Sykes M. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Sykes M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Manning R. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Azaz F. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Downes F. ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
55', 3 - 1, Scienza L. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Lisbie K. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
70', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
71', Arconte T. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
71', Scienza L. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
71', Sturge Z. ↓, Baggott E. ↑,
79', Metcalfe J. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
80', Coburn J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
81', Matsuki K. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Fellows T. ⚽,
87', Fellows T. 🟨,
87', Schlotterbeck K. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.

In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Millwall is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

S`hampton might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in S`hampton: Jander C. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Millwall: Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Leonard R. (Hamstring Injury) Mazou-Sacko D. (Calf Injury) Servais M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 6.85% Millwall: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Cup
25.08.26	Southampton - West Ham United	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Southampton - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Watford - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Colchester United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Preußen Münster - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- Millwall
English League Cup
25.08.26	Cambridge United - Millwall	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Millwall - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bristol City - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Millwall - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.26	Southampton - Millwall	0:0
29.11.25	Millwall - Southampton	3:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Millwall - Southampton	0:1
English League Championship
24.02.24	Southampton - Millwall	1:2
04.11.23	Millwall - Southampton	0:1
English League Cup
26.08.14	Millwall - Southampton	0:2
English League Championship
17.03.12	Millwall - Southampton	2:3

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