The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 35%
Draw 28.2%
Wrexham 36.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
28.7%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
28.3%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.7%
18.7%
12.5%
Lincoln City - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 46.1% โ 91.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. 22. Hamer T. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 23. Roughan S. 11. Hamilton E. 6. Erhahon E. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 18. House B. 32. Gardner J. 25. Collins J.
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 34. Draper F. 5. Jackson A. 31. Jeacock Z. (G) 14. McGrandles C. 28. Moylan J. 36. Okoro Z.
29. Barnett R. 13. Burton C. (G) 26. Fletcher S. 11. Marriott J. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 23. Revan S.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
61', 0 - 2, Longman R. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
62', Longman R. 🟨,
64', Gardner J. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
65', House B. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
65', McClean J. 🟨,
71', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
72', Lee E. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
73', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
74', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
74', Erhahon E. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
74', Hamilton E. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
76', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
85', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Wrexham is Qualified for Championship
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Makama J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Boyle W.
(Calf Injury)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Evans G.
(Inactive)
Faal M.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
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Wickens G. (G) 
Darikwa T. 
O'Connor P. (C) 
Hamilton E. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Cleworth M. 
