Match Info

League One - Round 42

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wigan Athletic		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.1	2
	4.2	3.25	1.95	Watch
	4.29	3.22	1.92	Watch
	4	3	2.1
	4.41	3.22	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.08)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
22.6%

Draw
29.5%

Wrexham
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.2%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Wigan Athletic - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wigan (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 1 - 25%). Wrexham (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 2. Mellish J. 19. Robinson L. 6. Weir J. 16. Adeeko B. 11. Dale O. 37. Asamoah M. 28. Taylor D.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
44. Hungbo J. 24. McHugh H. 20. McManaman C. 17. Sibbick T. 21. Smith S. 14. Sze C. 12. Watson T. (G)	29. Barnett R. 13. Burton C. (G) 26. Fletcher S. 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 6. O'Connor T. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Dobson G. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
68', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
79', Weir J. ↓, McHugh H. ↑,
83', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
86', Robinson L. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wrexham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wrexham will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Wigan: Adams J. (Knee Injury) Francois T. (Knee Injury) Goodwin W. (Muscle Injury) Payne K. (Injury) Sessegnon S. (Inactive) Smith M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Calf Injury) Boyle W. (Calf Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Norburn O. (Injury) Rankine D. (Hamstring Injury) Sze C. (Inactive) Thomas S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Dobson G. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
08.04.25	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Charlton Athletic - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLTL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
05.04.25	Wrexham - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
01.04.25	Cambridge United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Exeter City - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Wrexham - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.24	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	2:1
English League Cup
08.08.23	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	1:0 penalties

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