Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Chemik Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.55
	2.16	3.30	2.80
	2.35	3.65	2.59
	2.33	3.54	2.62	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.55
	2.32	3.61	2.68	Watch
	2.07	3.41	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	2.66 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
40.1%

Draw
25.9%

Chemik Bydgoszcz
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chemik Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemik Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Rutowski K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Zagorski D. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 15th in the Relegation).

Lipno Stęszew is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Chemik Bydgoszcz have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Chemik Bydgoszcz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	11	2	6	3	17:21	-4	12
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLL
- Chemik Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - KKS Kalisz	1:1
12.09.26	Września - Chemik Bydgoszcz	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTTL

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