The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 32.6%
Draw 27.8%
Arsenal 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.5%
26.1%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
25.9%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
14.3%
17.9%
Liverpool - Arsenal Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Arsenal will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 48.9% โ 84.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Liverpool (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arsenal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
Liverpool is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Arsenal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Liverpool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:25 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:13 goals (averaging 2.1:1.3 per game).