Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
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Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
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Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
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Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Liverpool		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	4.75
	1.58	4.5	5.3
	1.7	4.55	4.55
	2.25	3.69	2.87	Watch
	1.61	4.8	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.61)	4.41 ↑ (4.36)	4.56 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
56.2%

Draw
22.3%

Manchester United
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

21.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	12.8%	19.2%

Liverpool - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 123 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 84 - 68.3%). Man Utd will win (votes: 24 - 19.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 60.1% – 76.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 31 - 64.6%). Man Utd (votes: 12 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Man Utd (1.74) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Man Utd (2.11) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 56 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 31 - 55.4%). Man Utd (votes: 20 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 12. Bradley C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 18. Gakpo C. 9. Isak A.	31. Lammens S. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 16. Diallo A. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 2. Dalot D. 19. Mbeumo B. 7. Mount M. 10. Cunha M.
Substitutes
14. Chiesa F. 22. Ekitike H. 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 17. Jones C. 73. Ngumoha R. 26. Robertson A. 7. Wirtz F. 28. Woodman F. (G)	1. Bayindir A. (G) 13. Dorgu P. 26. Heaven A. 37. Mainoo K. 3. Mazraoui N. 30. Sesko B. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Slot A.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Diallo A. 🟨,
57', Casemiro 🟨,
58', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
59', Diallo A. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
61', Mount M. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
62', Mac Allister A. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
62', Bradley C. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
62', Gravenberch R. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
72', Isak A. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Gakpo C. ⚽, Chiesa F. (A),
84', 1 - 2, Maguire H. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
85', Fernandes B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
85', Shaw L. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
85', Salah M. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Liverpool is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Endo W. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Heaven A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 47:24. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 2.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
04.10.25	Chelsea - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Crystal Palace - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Liverpool - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Brentford - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Manchester United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.01.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	2:2
01.09.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	0:3
English Premier League
07.04.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	2:2
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	4:3 ET
English Premier League
17.12.23	Liverpool - Manchester United	0:0
05.03.23	Liverpool - Manchester United	7:0

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