The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 47.3%
Draw 23.5%
Leeds United 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
21.9%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Liverpool - Leeds United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Leeds will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 83. Ndukwe I. 44. Chambers L. 6. Kerkez M. 42. Nyoni T. 8. Szoboszlai D. 68. Morrison K. 7. Wirtz F. 73. Ngumoha R. 9. Isak A.
21. Cairns A. (G) 6. Rodon J. 5. Muharemovic T. 24. Justin J. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 7. James D. 14. Nmecha L. 18. Stach A.
Substitutes
40. Abe J. 14. Chiesa F. 95. Davies H. (G) 19. Elliott H. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 67. Koumas L. 53. McConnell J. 75. Ndiaye T. 47. Ramsay C. 48. Scanlon C. 82. Sonni-Lambie J. 21. Tsimikas K. 28. Woodman F. (G) 79. Wright W.
11. Aaronson B. 23. Bornauw S. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 51. Cresswell A. 50. Crew C. 29. Gnonto W. 98. Lane F. 65. Lienou J. 8. Longstaff S. 49. Mahady R. (G) 96. Mills C. 99. Ombang D. (G) 95. Pickles O. 10. Piroe J. 97. Wilson H.
Coaches
Iraola A.
Farke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Chambers L. ⚽, Kerkez M. (A),
24', Tanaka A. 🟨,
35', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Wirtz F. ⚽, Frimpong J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Nyoni T. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
46', Isak A. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
46', Wirtz F. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
46', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
46', Ngumoha R. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
46', James D. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
46', Tanaka A. ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,
46', Stach A. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Aaronson B. ⚽, Ampadu E. (A),
68', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
68', Morrison K. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
69', Chambers L. ↓, Ndiaye T. ↑,
69', Kerkez M. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽, Rodon J. (A),
73', 2 - 3, Longstaff S. ⚽, Aaronson B. (A),
77', Frimpong J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
83', Bogle J. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
83', Justin J. ↓, Lienou J. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Calvert-Lewin D. ⚽, Bornauw S. (A),
88', Aaronson B. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location - Soldier Field.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C.
(Knee Injury)
Danns J.
(Thigh Injury)
Ekitike H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Leeds: Joseph M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Liverpool: Endo W.
(Foot Injury)
Gomez J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: Bijol J.
(Knock)
Calvert-Lewin D.
(Injury)
Gruev I.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:10. (average 2.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
Standings
2026
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Leeds
3
2
0
1
7:5
2
6
2
Liverpool
3
2
0
1
7:6
1
6
Last Results with these Odds
Liverpool - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.