The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 62.9%
Draw 20.7%
Sunderland 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
20.4%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Liverpool - Sunderland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. (C) 75. Ndiaye T. 21. Tsimikas K. 19. Elliott H. 53. McConnell J. 17. Jones C. 68. Morrison K. 79. Wright W. 73. Ngumoha R.
31. Ellborg M. (G) 20. Mukiele N. 5. Ballard D. 32. Hume T. 17. Mandava R. 13. O'Nien L. (C) 11. Rigg C. 8. Browne A. 28. Le Fee E. 14. Mundle R. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
40. Abe J. 44. Chambers L. 14. Chiesa F. 95. Davies H. (G) 6. Kerkez M. 67. Koumas L. 82. Lambie J. 83. Ndukwe I. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 48. Scanlon C. 8. Szoboszlai D. 28. Woodman F. (G)
97. Dinsdale C. 74. Geragusian F. 33. Hjelde L. F. 52. Jones J. 51. Jones J. 99. Kindon B. 98. Lightfoot A. 21. Moore S. (G) 1. Patterson A. (G) 96. Proctor T. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 95. Scott F. 23. Seelt J. 57. Tuterov T. 53. Whittaker J.
Coaches
Iraola A.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Gomez J. ↓, Ndukwe I. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Morrison K. ⚽, Elliott H. (A),
20', Ballard D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Le Fee E. ⚽, Rigg C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ballard D. ↓, Lightfoot A. ↑,
46', O'Nien L. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
46', Isidor W. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
46', Tsimikas K. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
46', Browne A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
46', Elliott H. ↓, Szoboszlai D. ↑,
46', Ngumoha R. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
46', Wright W. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
46', Mukiele N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
46', Mundle R. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
46', Hume T. ↓, Geragusian F. ↑,
46', Le Fee E. ↓, Whittaker J. ↑,
46', Rigg C. ↓, Proctor T. ↑,
46', Mandava R. ↓, Seelt J. ↑,
46', Jones C. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Tuterov T. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Szoboszlai D. ⚽,
58', McConnell J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
67', Mamardashvili G. ↓, Woodman F. ↑,
67', Frimpong J. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,
67', Morrison K. ↓, Abe J. ↑,
67', Ndiaye T. ↓, Chambers L. ↑,
68', Ellborg M. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, Chiesa F. ⚽, Ramsay C. (A),
86', 4 - 2, Koumas L. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
Preview
Neutral location - Geodis Park.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
Sunderland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.
There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C.
(Knee Injury)
Danns J.
(Thigh Injury)
Ekitike H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Leoni G.
(Knee Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Liverpool: Bajcetic S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Endo W.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Sunderland: Alderete O.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
Standings
2026
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Liverpool
3
2
0
1
7:6
1
6
4
Sunderland
3
1
0
2
3:5
-2
3
Last Results with these Odds
Liverpool - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 60.74%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.