The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 17.3%
Draw 20.4%
Red Bull Salzburg 62.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
22.7%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
13.7%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-27.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.6%
6.3%
64.1%
Lokomotiv Moscow - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
142 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 42 - 29.6%). Salzburg will win (votes: 91 - 64.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 56.2% – 72%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
No spectators.
Lokomotiv has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Salzburg has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Lokomotiv is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Salzburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Salzburg is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.