Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
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Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Red Star		Lorient

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.77
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.84	3.76	1.75
	4.39	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
	4.44	3.91	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.56)	3.69 ↓ (3.72)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
21.3%

Draw
25.5%

Lorient
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Red Star - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 27. Danger B. 28. Kouagba L. 98. Hachem R. 26. Dembi F. J. 8. Eickmayer J. 11. Cisse K. 10. Ifnaoui M. 7. Durand D. 21. Badji A.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 21. Ponceau J. 10. Pagis P. 22. Kroupi E. J.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 13. Doucoure F. 5. Escartin J. 9. Fall A. 19. Mbock H. 30. Rabouille V. (G) 97. Renel S.	66. James I. 77. Katseris P. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy F. 28. Soumano S.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
26', Pagis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Avom A. ⚽, Abergel L. (A),
57', Dembi F. J. ↓, Mbock H. ↑,
57', Eickmayer J. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
65', Durand D. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
65', Cisse K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Badji A. ⚽,
69', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
69', Pagis P. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
79', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
87', Durivaux D. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
88', Kalulu G. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Red Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q. (Knee Injury) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury) Igor Silva (Suspended) Tosin A. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Red Star - Pau	1:3 ✺
10.01.25	Laval - Red Star	1:1 ✺
03.01.25	Rodez - Red Star	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTWW
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Cannes - Lorient	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Laval - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1
15.02.19	Lorient - Red Star	2:1
14.09.18	Red Star - Lorient	0:3

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