Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	13	Watch
	1.24	6	11
	1.21	6.2	12
	1.22	6.64	14.12
	1.2	6.46	13.56	Watch
	1.22	6	12
	1.25	6.37	12.7	Watch
	1.2	6.4	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)	6.29 ↑ (5.55)	12.67 ↑ (9.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
77.5%

Draw
15%

Caen
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

16.9%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Lorient - Caen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Lorient (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 9. Bamba M. 22. Kroupi E. J.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 25. Sy L. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 61. Traore B. 28. Lecoeuche Q. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 10. Brahimi B. 21. Grandsir S. 17. Kyeremeh G. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
7. Diarra S. 2. Igor Silva 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy F. 28. Soumano S. 27. Tosin A.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 18. Coulibaly K. 27. Gaudin J. 37. Milliner L. 50. Najim I. 39. Tome G. 36. Verhaeghe R.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Der Zakarian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Gaucho Debohi D. ↓, Verhaeghe R. ↑,
12', Laporte J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Bamba M. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Ponceau J. (A),
44', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Brahimi B. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
65', Kalulu G. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
66', Lebreton N. ↓, Tome G. ↑,
73', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
73', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
77', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
77', Grandsir S. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽,
86', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
86', Abergel L. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, Tosin A. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3.

Lorient in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Caen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorient is certain favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Katseris P. (Inactive) Mendy F. (Illness) Pagis P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Caen: Le Bihan M. (Red Card) Lecoeuche Q. (Inactive) Ntim E. (Inactive) Thomas R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
21.04.25	Annecy - Lorient	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Guingamp - Lorient	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Lorient - Pau	5:0 ✺
29.03.25	Grenoble - Lorient	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Lorient - Bastia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
18.04.25	Caen - Martigues	0:3 ✺
11.04.25	Rodez - Caen	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Caen - Metz	2:2 ✺
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
14.03.25	Amiens - Caen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.10.24	Caen - Lorient	1:2
13.01.20	Lorient - Caen	2:1
05.08.19	Caen - Lorient	1:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
24.10.17	Lorient - Caen	0:1
Club Friendly
19.07.17	Caen - Lorient	2:1
French Ligue 1
02.04.17	Lorient - Caen	1:0
13.08.16	Caen - Lorient	3:2

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