The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorient 73.4%
Draw 16.9%
Pau 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.8%
20.8%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
20.2%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Lorient - Pau Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH -2 - Lorient (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lorient will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. (C) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 10. Pagis P. 22. Kroupi E. J. 9. Bamba M.
1. Kamara B. (C) 19. Kante 4. Kouassi L.X. 12. Gaspar J. 27. Bangre M. 17. Mille A. 21. Beusnard S. 2. Koudou T. 23. Obiang J. 10. Boutaib K. 9. Mboup P.
Substitutes
75. Fadiga B. 66. James I. 24. Kalulu G. 1. Leroy B. (G) 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S. 27. Tosin A.
24. Boto K. 11. Chahiri M. 18. Diawara K. 20. Gomes T. 55. Jeannin M. (G) 3. Kalulu J. . Nihouarn T.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.
Usai N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
62', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
72', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Fadiga B. ↑,
72', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Laporte J. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Ponceau J. ⚽,
90+1', (Pen),
90+5', 5 - 0, Tosin A. ⚽,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 10).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lorient is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Makengo J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mendy F.
(Illness)
There will not play in Pau: Arconte T.
(Ankle Injury)
Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Lopy J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lorient: Katseris P.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Pau: Meddah D.
(Inactive)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
Andorra
Asia
France
Watch
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Mvogo Y. (G) 
Igor Silva 
Laporte J. 
Talbi M. 
Yongwa D. 
Mvuka Mugisha J. 
Bamba M. 
Kamara B. (C) 
Kante 
Gaspar J. 
Bangre M. 
Obiang J. 
Boutaib K. 
James I. 
Kalulu G. 
Tosin A. 
Boto K. 
Jeannin M. (G) 
Nihouarn T. 
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