Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.33	8	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7
	1.39	4.66	8.9
	1.4	4.46	8.04	Watch
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.43	4.66	8.27	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	4.43 ↑ (4.16)	7.89 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
67.1%

Draw
21.1%

Laval
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

21.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Lorient - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorient will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. (C) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 21. Ponceau J. 10. Pagis P. 22. Kroupi E. J.	30. Samassa M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 21. Kouassi C. 23. Tavares Y. (C) 2. Pellenard T. 17. Kokolo W. 19. Sellouki M. 27. Adeoti J. 8. Thomas T. 9. Camara M. 18. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
66. James I. 77. Katseris P. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy F. 28. Soumano S. 27. Tosin A.	5. Adilehou M. 20. Cherni A. 34. Faurand-Tournaire A. 39. Goncalves A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) . Martins L. 33. Montet E. 14. Tell J.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Abergel L. 🟨,
44', Kouassi C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Thomas T. 🟨,
58', Pagis P. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
59', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
62', Sellouki M. 🟨,
68', Ponceau J. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
68', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
69', Camara M. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
73', Sellouki M. ↓, Montet E. ↑,
81', Laporte J. 🟨,
83', Adeoti J. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
83', Kokolo W. ↓, Cherni A. ↑,
84', Tchokounte M. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
84', Igor Silva ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Cherni A. ⚽, Vargas T. (A),
87', Cherni A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3.

Lorient in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Laval is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorient is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Diarra S. (Injury)

There will not play in Laval: Bianda W. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure S. (Injury) Ouaneh P. (Injury) Roye J. (Injury) Tchokounte M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lorient: Kalulu G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Laval: Sanna S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lorient to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lorient won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Troyes - Lorient	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Lorient - Amiens	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Red Star - Lorient	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Ajaccio - Laval	3:0 ✺
07.02.25	Laval - Annecy	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Pau - Laval	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
04.01.25	Laval - Lorient	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Lorient - Laval	1:0
14.07.18	Laval - Lorient	0:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Laval - Lorient	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
09.07.14	Lorient - Laval	1:2
18.07.12	Laval - Lorient	N/A

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