Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Play-in - Final

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Showmax, StarTimes App, ZAP
Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TDMAX
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Norway	DAZN
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN USA, Everpass, TBS, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play


	Los Angeles		Club América

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.45	Watch
	3	3.4	2.35
	2.82	3.35	2.45	Watch
	3.04	3.4	2.47
	2.92	3.39	2.42
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.88	3.44	2.47
	2.82	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.39)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	2.42 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
32.6%

Draw
28.2%

Club América
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Angeles's form might have worsened.

Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club América's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Los Angeles - Club América Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - América (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Los Angeles (5.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 3 - 75%). América (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 33. Long A. (C) 4. Segura E. 24. Hollingshead R. 11. Tillman T. 6. Igor Jesus 8. Delgado M. 27. Ordaz N. 17. Ebobisse J. 99. Bouanga D.	1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 3. Reyes I. 4. Caceres S. 26. Borja C. 8. Fidalgo A. (C) 13. Cervantes A. 28. Sanchez E. 17. Zendejas A. 27. Aguirre R. 11. Davila V.
Substitutes
23. Amaya F. 25. Chanot M. 9. Giroud O. 12. Hasal T. (G) 5. Marlon 30. Martinez D. 91. Nkosi Tafari 18. Ochoa D. (G) 21. Raposo R. 43. Saldana A. 29. Smolyakov A. 22. Under C. 20. Yeboah Y.	14. Araujo N. 44. Arriaga D. 18. Calderon C. 30. Cota R. (G) 24. Dilrosun J. 6. dos Santos J. 34. Espinoza D. 12. Estrada J. (G) 29. Juarez R. 35. Lozano E. 21. Martin H. 36. Ramirez M. 7. Rodriguez B. 10. Valdes D. 32. Vazquez M.
Coaches
Cherundolo S.	Jardine A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Caceres S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cervantes A. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
46', Davila V. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
59', Igor Jesus 🟨,
62', Delgado M. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Rodriguez B. (Pen),
66', Palencia S. 🟨,
68', Ordaz N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
74', Delgado M. ↓, Under C. ↑,
74', Ebobisse J. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
85', Caceres S. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
89', Aguirre R. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
89', Zendejas A. 🟨,
89', Zendejas A. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Igor Jesus ⚽, Bouanga D. (A),
90+4', Under C. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Borja C. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
91', Alvarez K. ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
104', Amaya F. 🟨,
106', Long A. ↓, Marlon ↑,
110', Tillman T. 🟨,
115', 2 - 1, Bouanga D. ⚽, Giroud O. (A),
119', Reyes I. 🟨,
120', Tillman T. ↓, Yeboah Y. ↑,
120', Martinez D. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,

Preview

Los Angeles is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

América has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Los Angeles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
MLS
24.05.25	CF Montréal - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
14.05.25	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWTW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
25.05.25	Toluca - Club América	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Club América - Toluca	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Club América - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club América	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.02.25	Los Angeles - Club América	2:1
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.22	Los Angeles - Club América	0:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
19.12.20	Los Angeles - Club América	3:1

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