The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mazatlan 16%
Draw 19.6%
Toluca 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.5%
21%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
20.8%
62.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Mazatlan - Toluca Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Rodriguez R. (G) 21. Santos S. 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 14. Zaleta M. 11. Barcenas Y. 25. Godinez S. 17. Ovalle J. 7. Dudu 15. Rubio B.
1. Gonzalez H. (G) 2. Barbosa D. 25. del Villar E. 17. Isais M. 3. Briseno A. 14. Ruiz M. 15. Perez P. 29. Diaz J. 24. Arce F. 9. Vega A. (C) 27. Rossi F.
Substitutes
27. Adame G. 13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 16. Esquivel J. 90. Fabio Gomes 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
10. Angulo J. 33. Arteaga V. 4. Bruno Mendez 8. Castro N. 7. Cordova S. 22. Garcia L. (G) 206. Orta E. 5. Romero F. 19. Simon S. 23. Virgen O.
Coaches
Bueno S.
Mohamed A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Vega A. 🟨,
23', Diaz J. 🟨,
27', del Villar E. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, del Villar E. ⚽, Arce F. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Diaz J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Rubio B. ⚽, Almada F. (A),
54', 1 - 2, Briseno A. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
56', Rossi F. ↓, Bruno Mendez ↑,
60', Ruiz M. 🟥,
68', 2 - 2, Barcenas Y. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
72', Godinez S. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
72', Diaz J. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Lopez G. ⚽, Dudu (A),
81', Isais M. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
81', Vega A. ↓, Virgen O. ↑,
86', Ovalle J. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
87', Rubio B. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Castro N. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
88', 4 - 3, Hernandez D. ⚽, Fabio Gomes (A),
90+5', Lopez G. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.
Mazatlan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Toluca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Toluca: Gallardo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Helinho
(Red Card)
Pereira F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 1.2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
Mexico
South-america
Watch
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Rodriguez R. (G) 
Almada F. (C) 
Barcenas Y. 
Ovalle J. 
Dudu 
Arce F. 
Rossi F. 
Arce B. 
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