Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Lugo		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.86	3.3	4.2
	1.92	3.33	4.15
	1.84	3.31	4.15	Watch
	1.87	3.25	4.18
	1.86	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.83)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	4.08 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lugo
49.3%

Draw
28.2%

Real Unión de Irun
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

28.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lugo - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 20. Sanchez M. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. (C) 3. Zoilo A. 27. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez Y. 22. Vaquero 10. Cabo J. 7. Hernandez R. 9. Mendoza B.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 21. San Bartolome V. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 8. Bilbao I. 11. Obieta K. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 21. Ceberio J. 19. Cuellar J. 18. Lesme F. 24. Martinez R. 6. Nicholas N. 17. Ochoa M. 11. Perero G. 14. Vidal D.	9. Benito A. 17. Cayarga B. 22. Garrido D. 18. Lozano A. 3. Marquez J. 15. Mosquera Y. 31. Rodriguez O. (G) 2. Santos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Sergio Benito ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽,
36', Eimil V. 🟨,
39', Hernandez R. ↓, Ceberio J. ↑,
42', Dominguez J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Olaortua I. (Own goal),
45+2', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
45+2', San Bartolome V. 🟨,
45+5', Mendoza B. 🟨,
45+7', Cabo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bilbao I. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Ruiz E. ⚽,
55', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
56', Dominguez J. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
59', Sanchez M. ↓, Nicholas N. ↑,
59', Gonzalez J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
62', Obieta K. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
62', Eimil V. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
69', Munroe F. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
76', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
80', Nicholas N. 🟨,
82', Cabo J. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
82', Mendoza B. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
90+6', Ceberio J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Lugo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Unión is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lugo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Lugo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Osasuna B - Lugo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTWW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	0:0
29.10.23	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	2:0

Upcoming Matches