Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)


	Luton Town		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.4	4.8	7
	1.43	4.84	6.92
	1.22	5	9
	1.42	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.27)	4.8 ↓ (5.76)	7.27 ↓ (9.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
67.5%

Draw
19.6%

Gillingham
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

16.3%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luton Town's form might have worsened.

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Luton Town - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Krul T. (G) 5. Andersen M. 4. Lockyer T. (C) 29. Bell A. 45. Doughty A. 17. Mpanzu P. 8. Berry L. 26. Giles R. 7. Ogbene C. 19. Brown J. 10. Woodrow C.	1. Morris G. (G) 2. Alexander C. 4. Masterson C. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 38. Dieng T. 14. McKenzie R. 17. Clarke J. 10. Nadesan A. 45. Bonne M.
Substitutes
11. Adebayo E. 6. Barkley R. 16. Burke R. 14. Chong T. 38. Johnson J. 12. Kabore I. 9. Morris C. 13. Nakamba M. 1. Shea J. (G)	32. Chambers J. 29. Gbode J. 13. Malone S. 9. Nichols T. 26. Orji I. 31. Sithole R. 25. Turner J. (G) 8. Williams J. 6. Williams S.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Harris N.

Preview

Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gillingham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Luton have a series of guest games.

In this match Luton is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Clark J. (Ankle Injury) Osho G. (Knee Injury) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
25.08.23	Chelsea - Luton Town	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Luton Town	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Bochum - Luton Town	1:3 ✺
05.08.23	Bochum - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLT
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
26.08.23	Gillingham - Colchester United	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Crawley Town - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Sutton United - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Gillingham - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
16.03.19	Luton Town - Gillingham	2:2
24.11.18	Gillingham - Luton Town	1:3
English EFL Trophy
06.10.15	Gillingham - Luton Town	2:1

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