Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Luton Town		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.1	Watch
	2	3.3	3.8
	2.03	3.26	3.95	Watch
	2	3.3	4.06	Watch
	2	3.3	3.9
	1.99	3.42	3.89	Watch
	2.03	3.26	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.11)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	3.95 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
47.3%

Draw
28.7%

Preston North End
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

28.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Luton Town - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Preston will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 27. Hashioka D. 6. McGuinness M. 29. Holmes T. 3. Bell A. 8. Krauss T. 13. Nakamba M. 25. Jones I. 18. Clark J. 19. Brown J. 9. Morris C. (C)	1. Woodman F. (G) 19. Gibson L. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 14. Storey J. 18. Ledson R. 8. McCann A. (C) 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 20. Greenwood S. 7. Keane W. 28. Osmajic M.
Substitutes
11. Adebayo E. 5. Andersen M. 23. Krul T. (G) 7. Moses V. 17. Mpanzu P. 37. Nelson Z. 20. Walsh L. 2. Walters R. 10. Woodrow C.	11. Brady R. 13. Cornell D. (G) 12. Evans C. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 25. Holmes D. 3. Meghoma J. 9. Riis E. 22. Thordarson S. T. 5. Whatmough J.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Storey J. 🟨,
42', Brown J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Holmes T. 🟨,
61', Keane W. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
62', Morris C. 🟨,
69', Hughes A. 🟨,
74', Brown J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
75', Jones I. ↓, Moses V. ↑,
75', Morris C. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
75', Osmajic M. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
89', Krauss T. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.

Luton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Preston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Luton have a series of guest games.

Recently Preston have a series of home games.

Luton will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Doughty A. (Knock) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Ribs Injury) Potts B. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Preston to win the game is with odds 3.42.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Luton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
06.01.25	Queens Park Rangers - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Luton Town - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
29.12.24	Swansea City - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bristol City - Luton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Preston North End
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	3:1 ✺
29.12.24	Preston North End - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Preston North End - Hull City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.08.24	Preston North End - Luton Town	1:0
15.02.23	Preston North End - Luton Town	1:1
13.08.22	Luton Town - Preston North End	0:1
16.03.22	Luton Town - Preston North End	4:0
30.10.21	Preston North End - Luton Town	2:0
20.03.21	Preston North End - Luton Town	0:1
12.12.20	Luton Town - Preston North End	3:0

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