Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Málaga		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.5	7
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.47	3.75	7.5
	1.51	4.2	7.35
	1.51	3.76	7.35
	1.67	3.1	4.5
	1.48	3.78	7.1
	1.47	3.65	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	3.69 ↑ (3.1)	6.79 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
61.4%

Draw
25%

Algeciras
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.7%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

27.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Algeciras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Málaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Málaga - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 25. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. (C) 29. Merino I. 11. Villodres K. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Roldan R. 23. Rodriguez J. 15. Diori Y. 11. Sanchez T. 10. Esteban Diego 4. Fernandez B. 6. Montes E. 7. Zequi 8. Turrillo I. (C) 22. Sardinero A.
Substitutes
34. Arriaza P. 26. Cordero A. 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 35. Ochoa A. 3. Ouacharaf B. 18. Sanchez D. 9. Zuniga L.	18. Amorrortu I. 5. Benavides C. 9. Cueto J. 20. Garcia M. 19. Illesca M. 1. Lavin M. (G) 16. Lopez A. 17. Martin D. 25. Merchan D. 21. Milosevic S. 29. Pimienta 3. Vicente A.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Málaga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Algeciras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Málaga is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	Mérida AD - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Málaga - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Málaga - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Real Murcia - Málaga	1:4 ✺
18.11.23	Málaga - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWL
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Antequera - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Algeciras - Intercity	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.23	Algeciras - Málaga	0:1
26.07.19	Algeciras - Málaga	0:0
16.07.16	Algeciras - Málaga	0:4
30.07.13	Algeciras - Málaga	0:4

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