Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, #Vamos
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Málaga		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.5
	2.3	2.85	3.5	Watch
	2.38	2.87	3.92
	2.42	2.84	3.51	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.5
	2.33	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.2)	2.85 ↓ (3.06)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
40.6%

Draw
33.1%

Eldense
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

30.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Málaga - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Eldense will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 42.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 19. Luismi 12. Molina M. 26. Cordero A. 9. Baturina R. 24. Lobete J.	13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 3. Martos I. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. 24. Timor D. 20. Chapela I. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U.
Substitutes
25. Castel S. 17. Dioni 6. Enriquez R. 14. Garcia V. 13. Lopez C. (G) 11. Medina K. 29. Merino I. 35. Ochoa A. 5. Pastor A. 3. Puga C. 21. Rahmani Y. 23. Sangalli L.	21. Bernal A. 6. Camarasa V. 29. Godoy A. 22. Grigore R. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 1. Martin D. (G) 10. Montes C. 27. Ogbuehi S. 11. Ortuno J. 16. Youness
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Ponz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Cordero A. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Monte N. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
38', Martos I. 🟨,
39', Timor D. 🟨,
42', Martos I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mateu M. ↓, Grigore R. ↑,
46', Chapela I. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
50', Ropero U. 🟨,
56', Jorquera Romero J. 🟨,
57', Lobete J. 🟨,
66', Baturina R. ↓, Dioni ↑,
66', Lobete J. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
72', Ropero U. ↓, Bernal A. ↑,
79', Cordero A. ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
79', Larrubia D. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
80', Quintana Nacho ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
86', Pina ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
88', Molina M. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
90+2', Grigore R. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Medina K. ⚽,
90+5', Camarasa V. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eldense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eldense: Dumic D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Abaida H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Bouzaidi S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.24	Burgos - Málaga	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Málaga - Almería	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Castellón - Málaga	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Levante - Málaga	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLT
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Cádiz - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Eldense - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Mirandés - Eldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Málaga - Eldense	1:0

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