Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Greece	Nova Sports 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Málaga		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.15	Watch
	1.81	3.72	4.66
	1.8	3.65	4.47	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.81	3.7	4.57	Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.03)	3.51 ↑ (3.43)	4.28 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
51.8%

Draw
26.5%

Leganés
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Málaga's performance.

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	9.1%	6.8%

Málaga - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: Málaga will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Málaga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 37. Rodriguez R. 9. Chupe	1. Soriano J. (C) 36. Leiva M. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 26. Guirao C. 9. Rodriguez D. 24. Diawara A. 11. Duk 23. Millan A. 10. Cruz J.
Substitutes
5. Brasanac D. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 31. Rafita 36. Recio A. 6. Rodriguez R.	12. Asue L. 46. Bayon S. 21. Campos A. 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 45. Llave C. 16. Melero G. 47. Ndiaye M. 20. Plano O. 48. Rodriguez G. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Funes J.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Soriano J. 🟨,
37', Guirao C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Guirao C. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
62', Millan A. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
71', Sanchez D. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
71', Rodriguez R. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
78', Cruz J. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
79', Munoz J. ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
89', Rodriguez D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
90+2', Melero G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2.

Málaga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leganés has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Málaga could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Dotor C. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (International duty) Ochoa A. (International duty) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Yellow Cards) Pena R. (Muscle Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Rafita (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leganés - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Cádiz - Málaga	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Málaga - Huesca	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Granada - Málaga	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.26	Leganés - Ceuta	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Valladolid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Leganés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0
27.03.23	Málaga - Leganés	2:0
12.10.22	Leganés - Málaga	1:0
16.04.22	Leganés - Málaga	0:3
18.12.21	Málaga - Leganés	0:2
24.05.21	Leganés - Málaga	1:0
21.11.20	Málaga - Leganés	1:2

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