Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 24 January 2023, Tuesday


	Maidstone United		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.9
	2.3	3.25	2.65
	2.4	3.4	2.7
	2.32	3.35	2.8
	2.41	3.55	2.87
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.38	3.5	2.76
	2.34	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.13)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
39.1%

Draw
27.5%

Aldershot Town
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Maidstone United - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Maidstone will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Aldershot will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maidstone: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 2.

Maidstone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maidstone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Maidstone won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Maidstone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League
21.01.23	Maidstone United - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.23	Notts County - Maidstone United	2:3 pen. ✺
English National League
07.01.23	York City - Maidstone United	4:1 ✺
02.01.23	Maidstone United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLLL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
21.01.23	Bromley - Aldershot Town	2:2 ✺
17.01.23	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Aldershot Town - Leiston	4:1 ✺
English National League
10.01.23	Aldershot Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	Aldershot Town - Notts County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.08.22	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	1:3
27.04.19	Maidstone United - Aldershot Town	0:2
25.09.18	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	0:1
30.12.17	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	1:1
15.08.17	Maidstone United - Aldershot Town	1:1
04.02.17	Maidstone United - Aldershot Town	0:2
09.08.16	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	1:0

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