Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Mewa Arena (Mainz)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	VIX App


	Mainz		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	11
	1.29	4.95	11
	1.32	5.36	11.35
	1.3	5.31	11.18	Watch
	1.29	4.8	10
	1.3	5.04	11.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.08 ↑ (4.84)	11.04 ↑ (9.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
72.8%

Draw
18.6%

Sigma Olomouc
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19.6%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

16.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mainz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	10.7%	3.6%

Mainz - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Mainz (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mainz will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batz D. (G) 21. da Costa D. 4. Posch S. 31. Kohr D. 30. Widmer S. (C) 8. Nebel P. 6. Sano K. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 2. Mwene P. 20. Tietz P. 44. Weiper N.	91. Koutny J. (G) 22. Hadas M. 8. Spacil J. 33. Maly M. 13. Slama J. 70. Ghali A. 47. Beran M. 88. Barath P. 7. Sturm D. 14. Rusek A. 9. Kliment J. (C)
Substitutes
35. Babatz L. (G) 14. Boving W. 42. Gleiber D. 24. Kawasaki S. 5. Leitsch M. 15. Maloney L. 36. Moreno Fell F. 48. Potulski K. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N.	77. Dolznikov A. 24. Drabek D. 98. Hruska M. (G) 32. Jalovicor S. 39. Janosek D. 25. Mikulenka M. 3. Siegl P. 6. Sip J. 16. Slavicek F. 29. Stoppen T. (G) 2. Sylla A. 35. Yasser M.
Coaches
Fischer U.	Janotka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Kliment J. 🟨,
38', Tietz P. 🟨,
38', Barath P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Posch S. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
61', Kohr D. 🟨,
62', Kliment J. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
62', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
71', Beran M. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
74', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
74', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
76', Barath P. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Sieb A. ⚽, da Costa D. (A),
83', Weiper N. 🟨,
84', Rusek A. ↓, Dolznikov A. ↑,
84', Spacil J. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
87', da Costa D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
88', Nebel P. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
90+1', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
90+2', Slama J. 🟨,
90+5', Sip J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.

In recent matches, Mainz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sigma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mainz is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N. (Heel Injury) Becker S. (Inactive) Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Hollerbach B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silas (Broken shinbone) Tauer N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J. (Knee Injury) Digana T. (Inactive) Elbel J. (Inactive) Grgic D. (Inactive) Israel D. (Inactive) Jezierski J. (Inactive) Krivak F. (Inactive) Lurvink L. (Inactive) Muritala Y. (Injury) Sejk V. (Inactive) Tkac D. (Muscle Injury) Urica F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mainz: Bell S. (Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Injury) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J. (Knee Injury) Yasser M. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
15.03.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mainz	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Mainz - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Mainz - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTTT
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
15.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Karviná	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mainz	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Mainz	0:0

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