Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Andruv stadion (Olomouc)

Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Sigma Olomouc		Mainz

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73
	4.7	3.45	1.75
	5.28	3.56	1.77
	5.52	3.68	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.7
	5.15	3.64	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.19)	3.54 ↓ (3.67)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sigma Olomouc
18.8%

Draw
26.7%

Mainz
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.9%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

27.7%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Sigma Olomouc - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Sigma will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Mainz will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Sigma (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Sigma (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sigma (3.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sigma (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Mainz (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Koutny J. (G) 8. Spacil J. 33. Maly M. 13. Slama J. 22. Hadas M. 88. Barath P. 47. Beran M. 70. Ghali A. 7. Sturm D. 14. Rusek A. 9. Kliment J. (C)	33. Batz D. (G) 31. Kohr D. (C) 4. Posch S. 48. Potulski K. 21. da Costa D. 8. Nebel P. 6. Sano K. 14. Boving W. 2. Mwene P. 20. Tietz P. 26. Silas
Substitutes
77. Dolznikov A. 24. Drabek D. 98. Hruska M. (G) 32. Jalovicor S. 39. Janosek D. 25. Mikulenka M. 3. Siegl P. 6. Sip J. 16. Slavicek F. 29. Stoppen T. (G) 35. Yasser M.	35. Babatz L. (G) 42. Gleiber D. 24. Kawasaki S. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 5. Leitsch M. 15. Maloney L. 36. Moreno Fell F. 1. Riess L. (G) 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N. 44. Weiper N. 30. Widmer S.
Coaches
Janotka T.	Fischer U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kliment J. 🟨,
61', Ghali A. ↓, Slavicek F. ↑,
61', Hadas M. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
65', Boving W. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
65', Silas ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
75', Rusek A. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
75', Kliment J. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
82', Tietz P. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
83', Posch S. 🟨,
90+1', Nebel P. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
90+1', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Sigma has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mainz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mainz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J. (Knee Injury) Digana T. (Inactive) Elbel J. (Inactive) Grgic D. (Inactive) Israel D. (Inactive) Jezierski J. (Inactive) Kral J. (Knee Injury) Krivak F. (Inactive) Leibl M. (Muscle Injury) Lurvink L. (Inactive) Muritala Y. (Injury) Sejk V. (Inactive) Sylla A. (Yellow Cards) Tkac D. (Muscle Injury) Urica F. (Injury)

There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N. (Heel Injury) Becker S. (Inactive) Bell S. (Injury) Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Inactive) Hollerbach B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Sigma: Dolznikov A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Bohemians 1905	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Lausanne-Sport - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.02.26	Teplice - Sigma Olomouc	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Sigma Olomouc - Lausanne-Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWT
- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
07.03.26	Mainz - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Mainz - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Mainz	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTLW

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