The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester City 59.2%
Draw 22.7%
Bayern Munich 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
24.4%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
24.4%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.
Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.5%
10.8%
17.7%
Manchester City - Bayern Munich Predictions
Users Predictions:
130 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 93 - 71.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 23 - 17.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 10.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 63.7% – 79.3%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
1st leg.
Man City is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Man City has already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (60%), a chance of final (44%), a chance of win league (33%).
Bayern has already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (40%), a chance of final (26%), a chance of win league (17%).
This event has very big quality91, very big importance100, very big match rating96. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Man City won 3.
Man City in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Bayern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bayern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Man City is a favorite.
There will not play in Man City: Foden P.
(Health problems)
Mendy B.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Bayern: Choupo-Moting E. M.
(Knee Injury)
Hernandez L.
(Knee Injury)
Neuer M.
(Broken Leg)
Wanner P.
(Muscle Injury)
Our prediction for today's Man City to win the game is with odds 1.63.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Man City won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Man City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.
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