Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Manchester City		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	11
	1.3	5.5	10
	1.3	6	11
	1.3	5.6	9.8
	1.3	5.88	10.44
	1.29	5.5	11
	1.31	6.25	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	5.75 ↑ (4.88)	10.43 ↑ (7.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manchester City
74.1%

Draw
16.7%

Olympique Marseille
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.6%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

11.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-33.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62%	6%	32%

Manchester City - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 62 - 62%). Marseille will win (votes: 32 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 52.5% – 71.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Man City was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (77%), has a good chance of semis (55%), has a chance of final (38%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Marseille has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Man City is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Man City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
05.12.20	Manchester City - Fulham	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Porto - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
28.11.20	Manchester City - Burnley	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
21.11.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWWL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
04.12.20	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Olympique Marseille - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.11.20	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Olympique Marseille - Porto	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.11.20	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.10.20	Olympique Marseille - Manchester City	0:3

Upcoming Matches